Comics #493 and #893 involve actuarial tables, which are tables for calculating the probability that someone of a given age will die within a given amount of time.
One evening, when I was feeling morbid, I wrote a Python script to calculate death probabilities for any collection of people: actuary.py (.txt). It takes a list of ages and genders and produces various statistics. Here’s the report for the nine living people who have walked on the moon:
~$ python actuary.py 81m 82m 80m 81m 80m 81m 76m 78m 77m There is a 5% chance of someone dying within 0.08 years (by 2012). There is a 50% chance of someone dying within 1.1 years (by 2013). There is a 95% chance of someone dying within 4.08 years (by 2016). There is a 5% chance of everyone dying within 10.78 years (by 2023). There is a 50% chance of everyone dying within 16.12 years (by 2028). There is a 95% chance of everyone dying within 22.57 years (by 2035). Probability of all dying in 1.0 year: <0.001% Probability of a death within 1.0 year: 46.32%
And here’s the table for four of the main stars of the original Star Wars (Harrison Ford, Carrie Fisher, Mark Hammill, James Earl Jones):
~$ python actuary.py 69m 55f 60m 81m 10 There is a 5% chance of someone dying within 0.42 years (by 2012). There is a 50% chance of someone dying within 4.74 years (by 2017). There is a 95% chance of someone dying within 12.83 years (by 2025). There is a 5% chance of everyone dying within 18.17 years (by 2030). There is a 50% chance of everyone dying within 31.28 years (by 2043). There is a 95% chance of everyone dying within 42.62 years (by 2055). Probability of all dying in 10.0 years: 0.272% Probability of a death within 10.0 years: 85.94%
Of course, these are based on average death rates based only on age and gender. Adding more specific information about the people in question will refine the calculation. For example, I’d guess former astronauts are more likely to be in good health—and have longer life expectancies—than the rest of us.
The message of Groundhog Day is that Bill’s character can progress in time when he finally learns to kombi su eksiltmesi love unselfishly. Implication is that God has put him in the time loop.
information about the people in question will refine the calculation. For example, I’d guess former astronauts are ben bu yazıya anlama veremedın nedıyor ?
Well, Niel Armstrong did die within a month of this post!
interesting fact
Niel Armstrong did die within a month of this post!
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ppareOn second thought, they’ve ears antly been here for 2 yalrea
Kings room’s thanks you yes o tead’s
interesting fact
Very interesting, how did anyone
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I LOVE Morbid Python! Those guys are so funny! Morbid Python’s Flying Saucer is one of my favorite shows. Oh man, you write scripts for that show? Cool!
Exposure to direct cosmic rays is improving life expectancy! Good.
Good god this made me sad.
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The fact that astronauts have passed through the radiation zones/areas with little protection from Earth’s magnetosphere practically guarantee them having cataracts within their lifespan. For all we know, they might not be expected to live longer than the average human being due to factors like that outweighing their time at peak physical fitness.
Well, Niel Armstrong did die within a month of this post!
Exposure to direct cosmic rays is improving life expectancy! Good.